Think in terms of probability.
Have you heard one famous statement told by Aristotle? I can remind it to you right now. “The probable inability should be preferred to improbable possibilities”
You have the power, when you think with the categories of probability. The probabilities give us a great variety of opportunities. Without opportunities we simply run the risk of random. We must create our own good fortune. How can we do this? We should think about the probabilities of our individual trading and develop an approach to analyze the market. In such a way we can put the probabilities in accordance with our trade.
Then, the probabilities are not indisputable facts. And moreover we must think of categories of probability. Why? It’s because that’s all we have. We could turn to psychics. We could turn to astrology. We could turn to divine interventions. We could, and some of us do this. The matter is that our trade can be in the hands of fate, god, our guess work or probabilities. As for I prefer probabilities in this case, even if they are not always sufficient. Models arise, but not always. Systems operate, but not always. Fundamental factors dictate the price, but not always.
Relax. If this all mentioned above is true the game is going to be complete. There is no such thing as tomorrow’s magazine “Wall Street”. That is why trading on insider information is considered to be a crime. In fact insider information predicts, but not always. Even the offense does not give complete confidence.
What can we do? We should accept the fact that we have a great variety of variants in this case. Think about categories of probability and act in accordance with them. Permit everything which is likely to be sufficient for you. Moreover be thankful for them. Probabilities are quite real things I should say.
Successful traders always take into consideration various categories of probability. They put themselves in line with the probabilities. They have learnt to distinguish them into low probability and correspondently high probability. The matter is that when experiencing an extremely high likelihood of a deal they risk more than during a low probability trade. Certainly you shouldn’t forget about your money management.
We must accept our limitations and restrictions of our everyday trading. We should take it for granted. We should be comfortable with the approximate predictions and interpretations. We must trust our shield of probabilities. Successful traders keep themselves out of trouble, thinking over categories of probability. If you know that the transaction has a chance to make money, you’ll go ahead and do it in an appropriate manner. Why not? It is probably going to bring you money. That’s the exact principle of deriving big profits in Forex trading.
It’s very vital to know that forex trading is not a casino, no matter how close to this it looks.
That is why, people who start trading on the Forex market, are making a big mistake.
And this is where a good forex book can be of big help.
Of course, it is pointless to trying reading all forex book info in the world, but extra advice is not an extra.
January 14th, 2010
NReed
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